The last opinion poll before the election has been released this afternoon.
The Roy Morgan poll puts the Greens at 10% (yes!!!).
But more interesting is the polling overall:
That puts the National/ACT axis at 46%, and the Green-Labour proposed alliance at 44.5%. And the rats and mice like Peter Dunne and Jim Anderton, who will get no-one else elected on their party lists, make up one vote on each side.
1.5% the difference: too close to call, I’d say!
Incidentally, there have been 5 polls released in the last two days. The Green support is:
Roy Morgan: 10%
OneNews/Colmar Brunton: 9%
Herald Digipoll: 5.9%
Someone has their polling methodology wrong. Is it the four polling organisations that rate the Greens at 8% or better, or is it the one that rates them considerably lower?
I guess tomorrow night will tell, but for the moment I’m hoping that 4 of 5 have got it right.
[Edit: Oh , and here’s Tane’s lovely pie-chart from The Standard. I really must learn how to do these myself once the election is over]: