After a couple of polls that have been poor for the Greens, the latest Roy Morgan Poll puts the Greens at 8%.
Now, 8% means 10 or 11 seats in Parliament, depending on the overhang and the wasted votes that might go to NZ First – who are looking increasingly like electoral dog food and according to the Roy Morgan Poll are polling at 2.5%, and that before the worst of the revelations about their electoral finance declarations.
This would give a real boost to the Greens in the composition of the next Government, because, unless the Maori Party were to support National, as a result of a deal over the Foreshore and Seabed Act, the figures indicate the Greens are crucial to the formation of the next Government.
Now, on the basis of this poll, and that the National Party are unlikely to agree to repeal of the Foreshore and Seabed Act (which the Greens opposed through its passage, and still vehemently argue for its repeal), there is a great opportunity for the Greens.
A few dead rats might have to be swallowed by either of the two best polling parties to form a Government.
But the Greens can do better! Let’s look to get at least 11%. That figure would really set the proverbial cat amongst the pigeons at Parliament, because it would elect Mojo Mathers as New Zealand’s first profoundly deaf Member of Parliament. Mojo has impeccable credentials on both environmental and social issues.
Her election would require Parliament to give some real consideration to enabling people with impairments. And that can be only a good thing!